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Antitrust

How big is too big? And when does a company become so big that the government is forced to step in and make it smaller? Politicians have been struggling with those questions for at least a hundred years. But as the latest generation of tech companies has taken shape, the questions are becoming more and more relevant to internet giants like Google and Facebook. There’s a new movement in Washington to break up those companies, whether through a Justice Department lawsuit or an old-school appeal to the Sherman Antitrust Act. It’s a struggle Microsoft fended off in the ‘90s, and it has only grown more urgent in the years since. As Amazon has taken a stranglehold of online retail, Jeff Bezos’ company has started to attract antitrust attention as well, with figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Lina Khan taking aim at Amazon’s cutthroat competitive strategies. If it succeeds, it would be one of the most ambitious government projects in a generation — but success is still a long way off.

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Lauren Feiner
A live entertainment CEO was indicted over an alleged bid rigging scheme.

The Justice Department released an unsealed indictment against Oak View Group CEO Timothy Leiweke, alleging he conspired with competitor Legends Hospitality to rig the bids for an arena project. Leiweke allegedly convinced Legends not to bid on the project in exchange for subcontracts he later reneged on. The DOJ says Oak View and Legends cooperated and entered non-prosecution agreements, including penalties of $15 million and $1.5 million, respectively.

Oak View Group said in a statement it “cooperated fully” and “is pleased to have resolved this matter with no charges filed against OVG and no admission of fault or wrongdoing.” Leiweke spokesperson Ellen Davis, however, said he “has done nothing wrong and will vigorously defend himself and his well-deserved reputation for fairness and integrity.”

Update: Added comment from Oak View and Leiweke.

Leiweke Indictment

[documentcloud.org]

Inside the courthouse reshaping the future of the internet

The US District Court in Washington, DC, was the home of two of the most important tech trials in decades — plus so much more.

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Lauren Feiner
Trump-fired FTC commissioner resigns.

Democrat Alvaro Bedoya will formally step down, while continuing the legal battle against President Donald Trump’s attempted firings of him and fellow Democratic Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter. Trump’s dismissals broke with Supreme Court precedent saying presidents can’t fire independent agency members without cause. Bedoya says while serving as a commissioner has been his “dream job,” he has to take care of his family by seeking a source of income, without breaking federal ethics rules.

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The Verge
Adi Robertson
The Google remedies trial is over.

We’re at the end of a day-long set of closing arguments, concluding with one final request to the judge from DOJ attorney David Dahlquist to “please seize this moment in time” and order Google to change how it runs search. Judge Mehta thanks everyone for dealing with a “challenging schedule” for the trial and says, “we’ll get back to you as soon as we can,” and with that, the remedies trial portion of US v. Google is officially done.

Thank you for staying, someone whispers right next to the conference line just before things go silent — pretty sure it’s not directed at those of us listening in, but I can always dream. For now, we’ll be awaiting a ruling later this year.

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Adi Robertson
Google wants a 60-day stay on any remedies.

Its attorney notes that an appeal in the liability case is ongoing, and Google wants that to be able to proceed. The DOJ, in a response, asks Judge Mehta to disregard the request, saying the appeal and remedies can proceed in parallel.

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Adi Robertson
Google attorney: “This is a trainwreck of a technical committee.”

Mehta briefly asks how Google would recommend forming a committee that could handle all the specifics of whatever remedy is proposed, as suggested by the DOJ. Google’s attorney complains any committee could end up simply letting the DOJ — and the executive branch in general — control how the deal gets interpreted. “That delegation of authority, I submit, is a violation of due process.” Schmidtlein also brings up how broad the remit of the committee would be, covering everything from privacy to identifying competitors.

Unspoken here: the Trump administration is no fan of Google, and this deal — in Google’s interpretation — would give it a huge amount of power over the company.

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Adi Robertson
The “delicate balance” of advertisers.

We’re wrapping up final discussions about some of the more obscure remedies, and Google briefly references the issue of advertisers gaming the system if they’re provided search data. “There’s lots of problems with this,” Google’s attorney says, including significant privacy problems.

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Adi Robertson
Back to Google, into overtime.

Judge Mehta has been triaging some non-Google cases to continue past 5, and we’re now back, with Mehta questioning Google’s attorney.

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Adi Robertson
Lightning round.

Mehta’s going through a final round of remedies and asking for explanations. First up: a proposed ban on self-preferencing. Government attorney explains it’s focused on search in relation to the Play Store, on-device AI, and a few other products. “Does this mean that, say, let’s say tomorrow Google launches a new product that is... Gemini... Super-Gemini. Do you mean to say if Google launched Super-Gemini, they couldn’t use Google Search to ground it?” Attorney seems to suggest banning something like that might be reasonable, though he equivocates. He says if there’s “a better way to draft” the statute, “we’re all ears.”

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Adi Robertson
“Hey, you wanna try Bing for ten bucks?”

Mehta is, again, asking for specifics about a plan to offer incentives to try alternatives to Google. “How does Google deliver that option?” he asks. The attorney’s answer, again: a committee will decide.

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Adi Robertson
We’re nearing the end.

Moving on from Chrome acquisitions, we’re in the final section, starting with the state attorney. Michael Schwartz is arguing for an education campaign fund that would address “habit, inertia, and brand recognition” barriers that prevent rivals from attracting users and competing with Google. Mehta asks some practical questions: how much money should be put into the fund, and who decides what the campaign to make people aware of alternatives looks like? The attorney says at a high level, it would be Mehta — who doesn’t seem thrilled about that. “I assure you, I am not qualified to tell you what is a good marketing campaign and what is not,” he says.

Schwartz says a committee could handle the details; for now, he offers a somewhat muddled explanation of how much money Google might need to contribute, reaching up to nine figures. Mehta asks if the whole idea is legal, and Schwartz tries to cite an AT&T antitrust decision — Mehta doesn’t bite. “Can you point to any case where there is a directive to a monopolist to out of pocket make an expenditure?” he asks. “We’re talking about nine figures at least.” Schwartz says all he’s got is AT&T. “The power of defaults is real,” Mehta says, but “that’s a different question than whether I can legally grant the remedy you’re asking.”

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Adi Robertson
“Google thinks it’s the only one that can invent things.”

We’re back to the DOJ, whose attorney is saying Google’s claim only it can steward Chrome is wrong — and that separating Google from Chrome will, conversely, let it evolve. He struggles to cite a specific legal case that would explicitly justify an order like a Chrome divestiture, but he says looking to the body of law on mergers could be useful, and while the judge can’t require Chromium employees to stick around, he could order financial incentives or other measures that would make Google fill any empty roles.

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Adi Robertson
“The value of Chrome to Google is substantially more than the value of Chrome to anyone else.”

Google’s lawyer is making a long case against the Chrome sale — essentially arguing that nobody else has the pragmatic incentives to keep developing Chromium or the ability to maintain Chrome as competently. Any divested version of Chrome will be “a shadow of the current Chrome,” he says. “I don’t see how anybody would be better off.” Also, he says, 80 percent of Chrome users are outside the US, and they’d be affected by the divestiture as well.

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Adi Robertson
Google’s attorney cites a “laundry list” of reasons selling Chrome (and maybe Android) is bad.

Schmidtlein says not only is it not justified by the law, the tangible harms outweigh “speculative benefits” to the competitive landscape. There’s “voluminous evidence” Chrome succeeded through innovation.

Mehta says the outcome of this plan is “less speculative” than many of the other proposals, and “in some sense, it’s from a judicial standpoint, a little cleaner and a little more elegant and a little less speculative than some of the other remedies.”

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Adi Robertson
The future of Chromium depends on acquihiring, apparently.

We’re currently hearing from a lawyer for the state lawsuit against Google, and Mehta is drilling down on a fairly salient issue: will Chromium employees actually move from Google to whoever buys it? The attorney says it’s common industry practice for workers to come with a company. That might be a reasonable claim, but it’s not a hard rule — and if it turns out not to apply here, that’s a potentially big temporary hit to Chromium’s maintenance and all the browser makers that rely on it.

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Adi Robertson
The future of Chromium.

Mehta asks whether a Chrome buyer would need to demonstrate it was capable of maintaining the open source Chromium project that powers numerous other browsers. “There are very few that could actually demonstrate it today,” he says. The DOJ’s attorney says there could be a negotiation with the future buyer to ensure a commitment, and people who are currently working on Chromium at Google would come over to the new owner.

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Adi Robertson
“Let’s talk about Chrome.”

Back after a short break, Dahlquist is arguing for why Google should have to sell its web browser. “Browsers are the way users get into the internet,” he says, and a huge part of that is search. He recaps the basics about Chrome’s popularity, including that 35 percent of Google queries come through Chrome.

Mehta asks about conditions the DOJ might put on selling Chrome, including whether the new owner would be banned from keeping Google as a default. Dahlquist seems to say it wouldn’t be, since the goal is simply to create more opportunities for competition. Mehta follows up: who would own it? I can’t see the slide Dahlquist shows to answer that question, but we’ve discussed the answer here.

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Adi Robertson
A quick recap.

We’re nearing the end of the day and currently on break. A few broad highlights:

  • Judge Mehta has dedicated numerous questions to probing whether AI chatbots should be included in the remedies, but he’s also expressed skepticism that a conventional search engine could rise and challenge Google.
  • There’s a sizable rift over whether, and under what conditions, Google should be required to share search data, much of which is focused on figuring out what the precise details of such an agreement would look like — particularly how much user data should be shared.
  • Mehta seems concerned about hurting Mozilla, Apple, and other distributors by banning the kinds of lucrative default placement deals they cut with Google, and he’s probed options for compromise. Google can point to plenty of testimony from distributors who rely heavily on its money and don’t see an alternative to its search engine. The DOJ’s responses have been relatively nebulous — saying the long-term effects of promoting competition will still help these companies out.
  • The parties haven’t yet reached one of the flashiest government proposals: a plan to make Google spin off Chrome.
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Adi Robertson
Judge: “I’m not sure Microsoft would even step forward and put very much in the pot.”

Mehta asks the DOJ’s attorney why Microsoft would bother paying for placement if Google weren’t able to bid, echoing the claim from Google’s lawyer.

“Even Bing will know this time period will end,” Dahlquist answers, since the ban on Google bidding would expire. And “in the long term, which is what we’re focused on, when this market is operating at a competitive level, we expect those payments could go up.” In other words, Microsoft would know it couldn’t rest safe in being a new, secure monopolist, so it’s incentivized to pay a reasonable amount to companies like Mozilla.

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Adi Robertson
“Microsoft’s not coming in with a non-exclusive deal,” says Google lawyer.

Ban Google from bidding for default search engine placement, says Schmidtlein, and Microsoft will just roll up with its own wheelbarrow of cash for a similar exclusive deal with Bing. “This would be one of the most invasive remedies I can imagine, and it would also harm all of these adjacent markets,” he says. He adds that companies are “competing just fine with Gemini” as well.

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Adi Robertson
“We just like, threw it out there, to see what would happen!”

That’s Google’s attorney’s description of how OpenAI launched ChatGPT as a “lark.” The underlying argument is that the judge doesn’t need to impose long-term restrictions, since the market moves so fast — and now, of course, OpenAI is raising billions in funding.

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Adi Robertson
“Maybe people don’t want ten blue links anymore.”

Mehta seems dubious that any conventional search engine will ever come to rival Google. If a competitor emerges, “it’s not going to be DuckDuckGo,” he says. It won’t even be Microsoft. It will be, he says, likely an AI service that includes search.

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Adi Robertson
Can Google possibly lose in a ban on placement deals?

Mehta brings up an issue Apple’s Eddy Cue raised during his testimony. Cue said that if Google was banned from cutting exclusive deals, Apple would still be forced to use it as the default because it’s the only viable option, while Google would simply stop needing to pay it for that placement. Is that a valid problem?

“The answer is today versus tomorrow,” Dahlquist says. “Hopefully in a future, world, he would say, I’ve got two or three great options out there,” and he can “play them off each other” to cut even better deals.

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Adi Robertson
Should Firefox die to punish Google?

Mehta poses a weighty question to the DOJ: how seriously should he take the dire warnings that companies Google pays for default placement, including Mozilla, have made during testimony? “Every single distribution partner ... has said, this would harm us. This would harm us. Some have gone so far as to suggest this would put them out of business,” Mehta says. “Is that an acceptable outcome to fix one market at the risk of harming others? Because that’s what these other folks are telling us.” Mozilla, for instance, has said its Google deal provides the vast majority of its revenue.

“We don’t dispute the possibility of some private impact,” Dahlquist responds, though he disputes the magnitude. He argues that these warnings are still speculative, and that the issue at hand now is how to fix Google’s monopoly. Mehta seems dubious, saying a dramatic remedy could amount to him damaging the phone and browser market — both of which, incidentally, Google operates in. How, he asks, should he balance breaking Google’s hold on search with serving the larger public good?

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Adi Robertson
“Those payments have frozen the ecosystem.”

Dahlquist makes the case for banning Google from offering payments for default placement on platforms, singling out its “astronomical” revenue-sharing deal with Apple. “If we continue to let Google pay for distribution, it will continue to win every contract,” he said. “Nobody can pay as much as Google.” He extends this to how Google is handling Gemini default placement.

Mehta asks: does this argument depend on him declaring Gemini a search access point? “I don’t think so,” Dahlquist says. Even if it’s not right now, “it certainly could be tomorrow.”

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Adi Robertson
Next up: distribution.

Lunch now concluded, the DOJ’s Dahlquist is discussing the “monopoly flywheel” that keeps Google dominant, particularly the deals that have given Google default placement on places like Safari. Google has, as Mehta pointed out, offered some concessions here. “Their remedy as I understand it is, drop the word ‘exclusivity” in these deals,” Dahlquist says, and the DOJ agrees with that. But he says Google “doesn’t go nearly far enough” in including Gemini in its proposals.

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Adi Robertson
Another break.

We’ll be back in 45 minutes for more.

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Adi Robertson
Privacy is becoming a sticking point.

Or more specifically, the lack of a detailed plan from the government about how to preserve it. “How much detail do I need to put on paper?” Mehta asks DOJ attorney Adam Severt. Right now, he says, he’s got “zero.” The DOJ is aiming for a committee that could decide, which Google strenuously objects to. Mehta runs through a series of steps the committee might have to take and asks how long it would require. A “couple of weeks to month to set up the experiment,” and then “a day or two to run the experiment,” Severt says.

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Adi Robertson
“I think the privacy stuff is a complete failure here.”

Schmidtlein is tearing into the government for not hammering out how to handle sensitive data before and during this hearing, and instead trying to kick it down the road for a decision later. “There’s an extraordinary amount of user data here,” and everyone “admits that it implicates privacy,” he says. Google previously argued that revealing search query data would undermine user trust, and he reiterates that search queries can reveal detail about individual people even if you try to remove personal identifying information. “We have a rough idea of a standard of privacy, but no idea about how to solve it,” he says. “It’s not even begun to be resolved.”

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Adi Robertson
We’re back to Google.

Schmidtlein is coming back, starting where the government left off, with search data syndication and who might get access to it — which he emphatically says shouldn’t include AI companies. “It could not be more clear, they are not trying to out-Google Google. They’re going about it in a different way. They are not a search engine,” he says. “The only person who would qualify right now under their definition is Microsoft” with Bing.

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Adi Robertson
Could Google only share the long tail?

Judge Mehta is zeroing in on the possibility Google could only share those long-tail queries. The plaintiffs say the approach might make sense, but that it’s not always obvious how to define a long-tail query. Mehta objects to that, saying it seems like something competitors should figure out. “They don’t have access to the same data ... that’s the problem,” he says — not that they can’t figure out what they are.

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Adi Robertson
“Nobody’s really testified about user-side data.”

Mehta has been pushing on ways Google could share its search data without including significant amounts of user data or kneecapping Google and still give rival search engines enough to improve their products. He’s pressing the government on whether witnesses really focused on comprehensive user data, or if they were more interested in Google’s index. He cites an amicus brief from Brave, which suggested limiting the shared data to unusual and hard-to-get “long-tail” results that can supercharge search quality. Also, how often should Google have to provide fresh results, and how much should it cost competitors to access them? “We’re trying to kickstart competitors, we’re not trying on Day 1 to put them on equal footing with Google,” he says.

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Adi Robertson
Mehta still seems skeptical of the link between AI and search.

“I understand this is now forward-looking, but I don’t know that” there’s an argument that would “allow the court morphing the market” this way, he says. “What case can you look to that has that kind of quality to it that can address that kind of emerging market and put it in this box of qualified competitor?” Judges’ questions don’t always indicate how they’ll rule, but that might bode ill for some of the companies Google is most worried about — generative AI providers — getting access to valuable data.

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Adi Robertson
Should AI companies get syndicated data from Google?

Mehta asks the question to the government. “I don’t think they’re interested in competing as a search engine qua search engine,” he says, elaborating. They “want to have better grounding in search” to have the best model in the world; is that sufficiently related? “It feels like to me the definition ought to be changed” of a general search engine if so, he says. The government disagrees, saying AI companies are clearly aiming to compete in the same areas. Mehta points out a contradiction: the government wanted to exclude a bunch of other search-engine-like services to establish Google had no meaningful search competitors during the liability trial, and now it wants to add new ones during remedies. “I’m not sure it quite fits,” Mehta says.

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Adi Robertson
Back now, talking about data and scale.

We’re still arguing about why data sharing is important, and whether Google’s “quality gap” of information compared with competitors is both significant and unfairly obtained. Data sharing and AI are emerging as two of the biggest elements of these arguments, which isn’t surprising: the former is something Google sees as potentially catastrophic, and the latter is where it sees the future of search.

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Adi Robertson
Break time.

We’re taking a 15-minute break before getting back to arguments — after a little chitchat, it’s near-silence on the teleconference line.

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Adi Robertson
“Our remedies are tied to barriers to entry.”

The DOJ’s lawyer is back up for rebuttal — arguing that Google might say its remedies are extreme, but a truly extreme remedy would be something like requiring it to sell search. The goal is denying Google the fruits of the monopoly it’s established and making sure there are “no practices” left to help it unfairly maintain it, he says.